And the Winner is …. Oscars 2009

2009 OscarsThe biggest event of the year in Hollywood is almost upon us.  While prepping for Brian and my annual Oscar party this Sunday, I thought I would share my thoughts on who will and should win at this year’s ceremonies.  When selecting my picks for the ballot pool, I always tend to pick who I think will win so that I can claim top predicting honors but since this doesn’t really count towards the pool, I’ll share with you my sentimental favorites.

Best Supporting Actress

2009 Best Supporting Actress Nominees

Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Amy Adams, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler

Will Win: Penelope Cruz
Should Win: Marisa Tomei

This race is probably the widest amongst them all.  Any one of them with exception to Taraji (no disrespect) could win this award.  The precursors really don’t matter in this race because Kate Winslet won practically most of them leading up to the big night.  Now with Kate out of the Supporting Actress race the field is wide.  Personally, I hope Marisa Tomei wins so that she can finally be vindicated for the Oscar she won for My Cousin Vinny.  Urban legend states that Jack Palance (the presenter) misread the winner and wrongfully declared Marisa as the winner.  Poor Marisa has been the butt of many jokes ever since then and never really gotten her proper due.

Best Supporting Actor

2009 Best Supporting Actor NomineesHeath Ledger, The Dark Night
Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Josh Brolin, Milk
Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road

Will Win: Heath Ledger
Should Win: Heath Ledger

The only sure thing at this year’s Oscars is that Heath will win a posthumous award for his performance in The Dark Night.  The only person I can slightly see pulling an upset is Josh Brolin.  Milk has been getting some last minute love and if the movie sweeps, he could be in for the ride and to boot, Josh was also pretty amazing in W.

Best Actress

2009 Best Actress Nominees

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Kate Winslet, The Reader
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Melissa Leo, Frozen River

Will Win: Kate Winslet
Should Win: Kate Winslet

This is a tough category since two of my favorite actresses of all-time are up for the award this year.  I’ve had a schoolboy crush on Kate Winslet ever since I saw her in Sense & Sensibility and I think Kate is long overdue for this prize.  She’s been nominated 5 times before and never won.  A small part of me though is hoping Meryl wins because her acceptance speeches always crack me up.  When she won the SAG award this year, she literally ran up to the stage and high-fived the audience on her way up.  What’s not to love about that?

Best Actor

2009 Best Actor Nominees

Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
Sean Penn, Milk
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Richard Jenkins, The Visitor

Will Win: Mickey Rourke
Should Win: Sean Penn

Flip a coin.  That’s probably how this race will be decided, it’s that close between Sean Penn who won at the SAGs and Mickey Rourke who at the Golden Globes. In the end, I think Mickey’s comeback will edge out Sean’s brilliant performance.  Hollywood loves a comeback, plus Sean already has an Oscar for Dead Man Walking.

Best Director

2009 Best Director Nominees

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Gus Van Sant, Milk
Stephen Daldrey, The Reader

Will Win: Danny Boyle
Should Win: Gus Van Sant

My sentimental favorite in this category is Gus Van Sant.  I’ve loved his work in Good Will Hunting, To Die for and especially My Own Private Idaho but realistically speaking nothing is going to stop the Slumdog Millionaire tsunami and Danny Boyle, deservedly so, will win this award.

Best Picture

2009 Best Picture Nominees

Frost/Nixon
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
The Reader

Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire

If Slumdog Millionaire doesn’t win this award, I will be COMPLETELY SHOCKED.  For a movie that looked like it was going straight to DVD until Fox Searchlight picked it for distribution, it has practically won every major award in the precursors this season.  As much as I loved Milk which was very timely considering the passing of Proposition 8 last year, Slumdog Millionaire is a fantastic film and deserves every praise it’s been receiving.

Who are your sentimental faves this year?