Early 2014 Oscar Predictions

2014-oscar-frontrunners

I just couldn’t help myself and had to jump in and write a post about the upcoming 86th annual Academy Awards on March 2, 2014. We are just under three months away from the ceremony where Hollywood’s biggest and noteworthy-est stars come together to celebrate each other’s fantastic work over the previous 12 months. This is my favourite time of year as the best films roll out to theatres just as the weather starts to turn cold, giving me the perfect excuse to sit in a cozy, warm theatre several nights each week!

In my opinion, there have been some pretty spectacular movies already this year which should make the race up to the Oscars that much more interesting! If you haven’t seen Gravity, you absolutely MUST. With several film award shows between now and then, as well as the New York Film Critics Circle choosing their favourites this past week, there are bound to be some serious contenders emerging as we head into the new year. I’m going to break down some of the biggest categories with what I assume to be sure locks, my faves, and a few dark horses, just to keep things interesting. If you think I’ve missed anything from my list, I want to hear from you. If I believe you enough, I may even let you take me out to see the movie you’re gushing about!

Best Picture

Kicking things off, this is probably one of the BIGGEST years for the Best Picture category with a solid 15-20 movies having a shot at making the list of ten nominated films. I’m thinking that by the time we see the Golden Globes handed out we’ll have a better idea of who will have a strong chance of being in the race.

GUARANTEED NOMINATIONS (if I were on the voting panel that is)

  • Gravity – SHOULD WIN
  • 12 Years a Slave – MOST LIKELY TO WIN
  • Nebraska
  • Lee Daniel’s The Butler
  • Dallas Buyers Club
  • American Hustle

GOOD CHANCE AT NOMINATIONS

  • Fruitvale Station
  • Saving Mr. Banks
  • All is Lost
  • August: Osage County
  • Philomena

DARK HORSES IN THE NOMINATION RACE

  • The Wolves of Wall Street
  • The Monument’s Men
  • Captain Philips
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Blue Jasmine
  • Her

Best Director

  • Gravity – Alfonso Cuarón – SHOULD WIN
  • All is Lost – J.C. Chandor – WILL WIN
  • 12 Years a Slave – Steve McQueen
  • Captain Philips – Paul Greengrass
  • American Hustle – David O. Russell – DARK HORSE
  • Nebraska – Alexander Payne

For the acting categories I’m going to list everyone I believe is currently worthy of a nomination, knowing full well that we’ll only see five nominations in each category. I really struggled to break some of these groups out, as there has been some outstanding talent this year! I’ve also neglected the Independent Film genre in most of these categories, which I’m sure will upset some. I know outright that the Academy voters will include a few smaller budget film roles in the mix as well, I just couldn’t put my finger on who that might be this early on.

Best Actor

  • Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club – SHOULD WIN
  • Robert Redford – All is Lost – MOST LIKELY TO WIN and it would be his first ever acting Oscar
  • Michael B Jordan – Fruitvale Station
  • Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years A Slave – DARK HORSE
  • Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips – DARK HORSE

OTHER POSSIBLE NOMINEES

  • Idris Elba – Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
  • Joaquin Phoenix – Her

Best Actress

  • Sandra Bullock – Gravity – SHOULD WIN
  • Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine – MOST LIKELY TO WIN
  • Amy Adams – American Hustle
  • Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
  • Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks

OTHER POSSIBLE NOMINEES

  • Judi Dench – Philomena
  • Kate Winslet – Labor Day

Best Supporting Actor

  • Jared Leto – Dallas Buyer’s Club – SHOULD WIN
  • James Gandolfini – Enough Said – MOST LIKELY TO WIN
  • Michael Fassbender – 12 Years A Slave – DARK HORSE
  • John Goodman – Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Josh Brolin – Labor Day

OTHER POSSIBLE NOMINEES

  • Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
  • George Clooney – Gravity

Best Supporting Actress

  • Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle – SHOULD WIN
  • June Squibb – Nebraska – MOST LIKELY TO WIN
  • Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniel’s The Butler – DARK HORSE (cause who doesn’t love Oprah’s acceptance speeches?)
  • Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years A Slave
  • Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station

OTHER POSSIBLE NOMINEES

  • Julia Roberts – August: Osage County

Seriously, this is going to be one of the best years ever for The Academy Awards. Some of the biggest names in Hollywood have provided us, the audience, with some of the most breathtaking portrayals in cinematic history. This is a post about movies, so I’m absolutely allowed to be that dramatic. Get out to the movies and then tune in for the Oscars in March to see how close I was in my predictions.

  • Max

    A couple things The Monuments Men will not be released this year and therefore won’t be eligible for the Oscars this year.
    I’m not sure what your basing your analysis on other than hearsay, because American Hustle has only screened for industry insiders. If you are a lucky person who has managed to see it, you should say that.
    You might also proofread your posts before they go up.

  • MadMAX

    What are you basing your opinions on some of these films have not yet been screened??

  • Ryesq

    My Thoughts exactly — WHO ARE YOU?

  • Raph

    It’s a little too early to tell since many movies haven’t been screened to general public yet (Her, American Hustle, Labor Day). For now I agree with some of your pics such as Jared Leto & Robert Redford, but there’s no way The Butler is guaranteed to get a nom for best picture. Well, to me, that is. I guess we’ll know about those noms soon enough anyways 😉

  • Dan

    I’m lucky enough to work in industry that has allowed me to see almost all of the films I’ve listed, minus a few of the smaller films with screenings over the next two weeks.

    I double checked Monuments Men and you’re Max! I’ll scratch that one off my list of potentials.